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We had one winner yesterday, and it could have been four if the camera and jockeys had helped. While it was a shame to get nobbled with 12/1 and 8/1 shots, it’s part of the game. The fact is you win some lucky, and lose some unlucky. As the proverb goes, fall down 6 times, stand up 7 times.
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THE WORLDS BEST HORSE RACING SERVICE
CARLISLE 1:23 IOLANI 7/1
BAVINGTON BOB won his last three races, and one of them was over CD. Ann Hamilton’s 6 year old has done nothing but improve, but he now appears to be handicapped to the hilt.
Furthermore, his jockey can only take 3 pounds off today, whereas he was allowed 7 pounds in that last race. For the record, he scraped home by a neck at Hexham, and the form is nothing special. Also, these odds are shorter (11/10) than expected, and has such he’s begging to be taken on!
KAVANAGHS CROSS is yet to win, albeit he finished 2nd in 3 from his 8 races. On a positive note, he’s feasibly handicapped, and Kevin Brogan is a good conditional rider. However, the 6-year-old isn’t a strong stayer. With that in mind, stepping up in distance at this stiff track is likely to catch him out!
When the bookmakers opened the betting, the biggest odds discrepancy concerned COUP DE GOLD. Bet365 had David Thompson’s 5-year-old in at 12/1, whereas the other went 7/1. The market has now compounded, and he’s being offered at between 8/1 and 10/1. Nevertheless, with just one win from 32 races, I would think the Stoke firms first odds were realistic.
I won’t be looking any further than IOLANI, for the following reasons. First and foremost, the 9-year-old is two pounds well-in. He’s a course and distance winner over hurdles, and he’s won on the flat here. Furthermore, I’m happy to see Alan Doyle take 5 pounds off the Dianna Sayer runner. Finally, confidence is enhanced by knowing he’s a natural-born (11/62) winner!