Otto Porter Jr., Lauri Markkanen and Wendell Carter Jr. remain out for the Bulls. Daniel Gafford is doubtful. Kris Dunn, Tomas Satoransky, Denzel Valentine, Chandler Hutchison and Luke Kornet are all listed as probable. The Nets have no recent injury concerns. The Bulls' interior presence continues to be a major liability and the Nets should be able to take advantage with all their big men healthy. We expect a big game out of Kyrie Irving and the Bulls lack consistency over 48 minutes to keep this within margin.
FREE PICK - Please understand that our football tips are for people who understand betting, not betting shop punters who don’t get Asian h’cap and value betting! For those who don’t know and have no reason to be looking at these tips, Asian h’cap -1 means the bet is void and stakes refunded if it ends with Velez winning by a single goal - Capiche? ——— Goal expectancy in Argentina Superliga is relatively low. In fact, during the 2018/19 season total goals averaged just 2.21 per game. In Velez matches this season the average goals per match are just 1.65, whereas Aldosovi play in games which produced an average 2.35. We are looking into goal expectancy to decide whether outright odds of 1.45 for a home win equate to 1.85 (-1 goal). Without going into our sports-modelling numbers, their isn’t what we would call any real value in Velez -1. Nevertheless, we expect the hosts to win with a bit to spare, and 3 of the 4 games they won at home ended in a 2 goal margin!
John Wall, Jordan mcRae, Garrison mathews, Moritz Wagner and Rui Hachimura are all out for the Wizards. The Hornets have a clean injury report. These odds are off in our opinion as the Wizards can't ever be counted on to maintain a lead with their horrific defense. The Wizards' perimeter defense is especially poor and the Hornets' backcourt is their strength with Devonte' Graham and Terry Rozier. We expect big games for both and they should create plenty of opportunities for their teammates as well. The Wizards for all their scoring bluster are a team without much chemistry and direction and while they have the best player on the court with Bradley Beal, he is very much hit or miss and is coming off a monster performance against the Bucks. We usually see Beal follow those games up with a stinker and the Hornets' defense has been improving throughout the year. Coaching favours the visitors as well so we'll gladly take the head start with them!
WTA PREVIEW - This premium bet is on us ———— Must admit, these odds stack different to the tissue we sent out. Don’t get us wrong, Simona Halep has been in invincible form winning all 5 matches in straight sets. However, we need to point out the ‘draw-gods’’ has been very kind to date, and in reality she could have been fancied to win those matches like she did! The Romanian is a great competitor at these major tournaments, but she trails Garbine Muguruza 3-2 on head to heads and 2-0 on hard courts. We should also mention Garbine beat what we consider to be stronger opponents, and she’s been improving match to match! Aspects of this fixture which have us believing in Muguruza include, a bigger serve, attacking nature, and the 35+ degree’s expected today. It’s getting hot, and Halep has suffered in the past from heat exhaustion. The reality of it all is the player who imposes their game best will win. As always the case in betting, we are playing the odds and in this case brat value Mugs!
FREE PICK - You can join WTA PREMIUM PICKS and get a great deal. For just €600 you can get the rest of the season (over 9 months) and benefit from all our WTA picks. For those who just subscribed to the Australian open picks you can get a 10% discount on that already reduced off (€540), or you get an whole month for €150. To be honest we expected Anhelina Kalinina to progress better than she did. The now 22 year old might do alright at lower end tournaments, but she’s struggling to find consistency. A season start 0-2 is less than ideal, and in our opinion she’s got something to prove against Jessika Ponchet. The 23 year old French girl packed in 8 aces against first round opponent Diana Marcinkevica, and a similar performance here could be more than enough!
RJ Barrett remains out for the Knicks. Bruno Caboclo and Grayson Allen are out for the Grizzlies. Jae Crowder is questionable and De'Anthony Melton is probable. The Knicks have excellent rim protection so we expect the Grizzlies to keep it outside and use their 3 point shooting against a weak perimeter defense. The Knicks should use their size to score from mid range and inside. Both teams are on no rest but the travel isn't too far for either and we expect good effort for both sides.
FREE PREMIUM TIP - Leeds will be without suspended midfielder Kalvin Phillips for their home game against Millwall. Phillips starts a three-match ban after his straight red card in the recent defeat at QPR and head coach Marcelo Bielsa has confirmed Ben White will step into the defensive midfield role. Leeds signed striker Jean-Kevin Augustin yesterday, no doubt he will be ready for the next match but not this one! 19 year old Ian Poveda signed last week from Manchester City, he could be included in the squad. Leeds have also been boosted by the return to fitness of forward Tyler Roberts and midfielder Jamie Shackleton, who have both been sidelined with hamstring injuries. Millwall boss Gary Rowett has reported no new injuries following his side's home FA Cup defeat to Sheffield United. Rowett made five changes to his starting line-up at the weekend and is likely to recall the likes of Tom Bradshaw, Shaun Hutchinson and Jed Wallace. Shaun Williams serves the final game of his three-match ban and fellow midfielder Ryan Leonard (knee) is still unavailable. Billy Mitchell and James Brown are both hoping to feature again after they started at the weekend. Remember back to last season, Leeds where running away with the Championship before hitting a brick wall and failing to promote. Deja-vu, it’s happening again. The Peacocks have lost their last three games, and they haven’t won any of the last three at Elland Road. In fact, the hosts where odds 1.60 Sheffield Wednesday (0-2), 1.44 Preston (1-1) and 1.33 Cardiff (3-3). At the weekend Biesla’s side failed to point in QPR (1-0), and to rub salt into the wound Patrick Bamford missed a penalty. One thing we spotted early about Leeds is they don’t have a natural goal-scorer. While some will point at Bamford getting 10 this season, the ex Chelsea players conversion rate is very moderate With that in mind it’s no surprise to see Leeds desperately trying to bring in Jean-Kevin Augustin, but the deal isn’t complete! Whether 19 year old City boy Poveda becomes a regular remains to be seen! Leeds are just 7-4-2 at home, and four from those seven wins where by a single goal. With no striker soluteion expected today, the pressure is mounting and Millwall won’t be a pushover. In fact, the visitors won the reverse match 2-1 (Leeds had Barardi sent off on 14 mins), and more importantly the Lions lost just one of their last 13 games. Furthermore, Rowett’s team are unbeaten in 6 road games, and they won in Derby, Bristol and Swansea. With everything considered, this line looks interesting!
FREE PICK - Here is a 2nd pick for todays Newport Beach. Like mentioned, we won’t be adding many, it’s just for regular visitors who need a couple of extra picks ——— We know the exact level of Sophia Anderson. The 26 year old is ok at the right level, and she’s the ideal player to test a lesser known! Sophie Whittle is an all American (college Tennis), and last year she won WCC player of the year. That made her Gozaga’s first ever national champion, so it will be interesting to se how far she can get on the challenger circuit. From out experience players changing over do better than bookmaker odds anticipate!
The betting limits are too low in Newport Beach, we won’t be making a big effort or sending picks to our WTA subscribers. We will just be sending Australian QF picks to subscribers, but you can get a season ticket (to November) for all WTA picks for just €600. ………..That’s a now deal and for people who understand WTA betting - Mail to firstname.lastname@example.org ————Tatjana Maria has simply been outclassed at recent WTA tournaments, so taking a drop down to this challenger series is the right thing to do. The working mother has ben relatively consistent over the years, but at 32 yard of age she’s showing signs of struggling. The other thing is Maria doesn’t get very deep into tournaments, and the financial challenge must be an extra burden. Nevertheless, we should at least respect the German, albeit Amadine Hesse could b worth a betting interest. While the French girl is unlikely to ever hit the top hundred, she’s capable on her day!
We decided against betting on the NBA yesterday as the sudden death of Kobe Bryant created a lot of uncertainty throughout the league. There were late scratches and unpredictable game play and motivation as players coped with losing one of the contemporary great players in the league. As the shock wears off, we hope there's some return to normalcy! RJ Barrett is out for the Knicks. The Hornets have a clean injury report. The Knicks had minimal issues against a Brooklyn team without Kyrie Irving on Sunday as they won 110-97 and it was their 5th cover in a row. We've made no secret of our opinion on this Knicks team as they weren't quite as bad as they appeared early in the season under David Fizdale and their play markedly improved once he was sacked and replaced with interim Mike Miller. Talent wise, we would say the Knicks are actually superior to the Hornets and the Hornets' lack of capable big men will be tested here against the Knicks' deep center and wing rotation. The Knicks typically struggle against teams that shoot well from the outside and the Hornets don't qualify in that regard. The Hornets just got back from France and have played just one basketball game in the past week. We like the visitors to stay within a possession against the team that's a bit out of practice!
WTA PICK ——— Crowd favourite Ons Jabeur had to dig really deep to win the first set against Qiang Wang. At some stages she looked the outsider, but she never stopped grinding and she managed to get over the line in a tie-breaker. With her opponent mentally broke the 2nd set was much easier. The Tunisian has always ben a big shot maker, and she’s now getting more consistency in her game. Jabeur has been very kind to our pocket all week, but now she’s facing the very tenacious Sofia Kenin. The 20 year old is fully in the zone, and some of her tennis has been sublime. And, while she needed three sets to get past rising star Gauff, she was toying with the 15 year old by the end. We really like Jabeur has a player and person, but no loyalty in betting and Kenin is a strong call!
WTA PREMIUM PICK - This pairing have met on a total of 14 occasions, and the score stands at 7-7. However, Anastasija Pavlyuchenkova is 4-2 over the last six meetings (since 2017), and she’s certainly got the upper hand on hard court. When we saw Pav’s start the year she appeared 5KG over-weight, we can report that’s been sorted now. Under new coach Sam Sumyk she seems to have found a confidence that had been missing in the recent past, and her level this week has been really good. The Russian is one of those players who is very very good when she’s on song, so the main question now is can she continue hitting the ball so cleanly. In the last round, Angelique Kerber was let off the hook by Camila Giorgi. For us experience of getting this far in the past, and being able to dig deep was key to the 32 year old German’s win. However, we don’t want to over evaluate that win, and Kerber has been fortunate with the draw to date! Pav’s has this match on her racket, the challenge is focus!