Starting pitchers are Jacob Nix for the hosts and Mike Minor for the visitors. Jacob Nix's rookie season has been rocky at best as he enters this game with a 6.00 ERA over 6 starts and has allowed a combined 11 runs over his last 10 innings. Nix's xFIP isn't much better at 5.34 and he has struggled pitching at home, likely due to the harder infield conditions with his high groundball percentage coupled with a poor San Diego defense. Nix will also face a Rangers lineup with plenty of left handed power that he has struggled against. On the other side, Mike Minor has really turned it on in the 2nd half of the season and enters this game with a 2.59 ERA over his last 7 start. The southpaw has improved against right handers as well and faces a Padres lineup that's one of the worst hitting teams in the league. The hosts own the advantage in the bullpen but we believe this game will be won in the first 5 innings or so!
Starting pitchers are Chris Sale for the hosts and Jacob deGrom for the visitors. Chris Sale has been one of the most dominant pitchers of the past decade but he has had some issues with durability the last few seasons and has spent some time on the DL this year. After missing most of August, Sale threw for the first time on the 11th in nearly a month but was held to just 1 inning, though he looked sharp with 2 strikeouts. Nevertheless, the Red Sox are treating him delicately at this time to maximize his effectiveness in the playoffs and it's been reported that he will throw around 3 innings today. The Red Sox bullpen, while one of the best in the league, are obviously not on Sale's level and we believe the middle innings could provide some opportunities for the lackluster Mets. On the other side, Jacob deGrom has been one of the most dominant pitchers the last few seasons and in a lost season for the Mets, it's likely they at least try to win him a Cy Young Award. deGrom has been at his best against the top teams and we expect nothing less against the team with the best record. It's worth noting the Mets have won 6 out of their last 8 and took the first game of this series rather handily 8-0. Their bullpen is lacking but we expect deGrom to last deep into the game to limit their exposure. At these odds with Sale's expected innings limit, we have to try the visitors!
These odds seem big to us - We would make her fav! ——— SOLAR ECHO will need to settle better if she’s going to justify her favourites tag. Hughie Morrison isn’t have the best of years, but he’s a good trainer who should get a bit more out of JEDHI. Nevertheless, we want to get with last time out easy winner FANNIE BY GASLIGHT. We are under no illusion that Mick chanson’s filly handled the ground better than most that day, and it was over further than this. Nevertheless, she could do no more than win like she did, and she’s lightly raced and open to more improvement. While her 8 pound penalty is meant to slow her down, seven of that will be offset by todays jockey!
We believe this is a penalty kick and will be very disappointed if she loses! ———TATSIA is well bred, but she’s a dud. CHITRA got off the mark on the all weather, albeit in a poor race and on different ground to this! Looking further down the line we see very little. The way VALENTINO SUNRISE won at the last meeting here suggests she’s a good thing. Mick Channon’s filly is just five pounds higher here, and todays jockey takes off a couple extra from that. Stepping up to 6 furlongs is another positive, and winning at the course is proof she likes it here. It’s hards to look any further!
The Cowboys couldn't have looked worse last week against the Panthers in a 16-8 loss but we still believe they have a much improved defense and a talented offensive line despite C Travis Frederick remaining out with a medical condition. The Cowboys OL had trouble against the Carolina pass rush but we don't see that to be the case against a much worse Giants unit and one that will be without their top pass rusher in Olivier Vernon. QB Dak Prescott, when given time to throw, has proven to more than capable and with a heavy dose of the ground game and play action, he should have much more success than he did last week in our opinion. The Giants perhaps looked better than they should have last week as they kept it close against the Jaguars but we believe that game wasn't really the Jaguars' top priority with New England today. Giants QB Eli Manning is well past his prime in our opinion and his play deteriorates rapidly when faced with even a semblance of pressure which we believe the Cowboys should be able to generate. Home field advantage is minimal compared to other stadiums but we like the hosts to win this comfortably!
In a rematch of the AFC Championship Game, the Jacksonville Jaguars host the New England Patriots. The Jaguars still boast one of the best defenses in the league and likely the best defensive line in the league and will be looking for revenge against the Patriots who came from behind to win 24-20 back in January. The Patriots would fall to the Eagles in the Super Bowl and despite having QB Tom Brady back, still are without any major receiving threat aside from TE Rob Gronkowski with WR Julian Edelman serving a suspension. The Patriots offensive line dealt with turnover as well and we believe coach Bill Belichick opts for a conservative gameplan against the dangerous front 7 of the Jaguars. Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette is questionable but either way, we see a heavy dose of the ground game from them as well. The Jaguars likely didn't put much into their game against the Giants last week but QB Blake Bortles just doesn't have the downfield efficiency in our opinion for his team to rely on his arm, especially with top WR Marqise Lee out for the season. We see another defensive struggle!
The Alex Smith era got off to a terrific start as the Redskins dispatched of a poor Arizona team rather handily 24-6. Andrew Luck's first game back in over a year for the Colts didn't go as well as they were losers against the Bengals in Week 1 by a score of 34-23. The Redskins were marred by injuries in 2017 on both sides of the ball but still managed a top 10 defensive unit and are especially strong on the defensive line, led by Ryan Kerrigan's 18 sacks. Now healthy, the Redskins boast a stout front 7 and one of the top cornerbacks in the league in Josh Norman. As highly rated as Andrew Luck is, his team is simply devoid of much talent on either side of the ball and we can't envision much success, especially as we're not totally convinced Luck is 100% healthy. Alex Smith has limitations but he showed a lot of versatility last season in throwing the deep ball, something he wasn't willing to do for much of his career. Smith should have no issues going back to a short passing game under Jay Gruden as he has the ideal weapons in TE Jordan Reed and RB Chris Thompson out of the backfield. But nevertheless, seeing Smith excel last season only gives us more confidence that he can really thrive here and should have minimal issues against a Colts defense that we rate as one of the worst in the league. The way we see it, the Redskins' roster is filled with talent on both sides of the ball and the Colts essentially have Andrew Luck and TY Hilton! Straightforward win for the hosts!
In a long rain-delayed game, the Titans came up short in Week 1 as they fell to the Dolphins 27-20, the exact same score by which the Texans would also lose their Week 1 matchup to the Patriots. DeShaun Watson had a forgettable season debut for the Texans as he threw for under 200 yards and completed just 50 percent of his passes. However, it's worth noting that Watson still has plenty of room to improve after a terrific showing last season and it was clear that rust and a poor offensive line were as much to blame. Titans QB Marcus Mariota had issues in Week 1 as well as he left the game with an elbow injury and after returning briefly and throwing 2 interceptions, was promptly benched in favour of Blaine Gabbert. Mariota is expected to suit up though coach Mike Vrabel has announced that both Mariota and Gabbert will see playing time. However, of greater importance will be the absence of TE Delanie Walker who was lost for the season as well as both starting tackles Taylor Lewan and Jack Conklin. With 2 poor offensive lines as well as excellent pass rushes on both sides, we expect conservative play calling with plenty of usage of Lamar Miller for the Texans and Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis for the Titans. The Texans defense is much healthier this year with JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus anchoring a stout front 7 and the Titans defense has shown some improvement as well. Texans DE Jadeveon Clowney is questionable but we believe the injuries are much more severe on the offensive side of the ball for both sides.
The Buccaneers pulled off the largest upset in Week 1 as backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick led his team to a rousing 48-40 win over the heavily favoured Saints on the road. With Jameis Winston suspended for the first 3 games of the season, Fitzpatrick will try to lead his team to a 2-0 start over the defending Super Bowl Champions Eagles who also have a backup starting in Nick Foles. Foles is of course the reigning Super Bowl MVP but as we've said in the past, he has limitations that were largely covered up by a system and we have doubts he can maintain the 2017 playoff level performance this year. While winning 18-12 over the Falcons in Week 1, it had as much to do with Atlanta's ineptness on offense, especially in the red zone and Foles looked very much like the quarterback that contemplated retirement not too long ago. Aside from QB Carson Wentz, WR Alshon Jeffery and RB Darren Sproles remain out for the Eagles. For the Bucs, defensive backs Brent Grimes and Vernon Hargreaves are both out and DE Jason Pierre-Paul is questionable. DeSean Jackson, after suffering a concussion in Week 1 is likely to suit up after practicing in full on Friday. The Bucs have some question marks defensively but we believe Nick Foles isn't the quarterback to exploit them necessarily. As for Ryan Fitzpatrick, he certainly put up some gaudy numbers in Week 1 but he faces an Eagles team with one of the best defensive lines in the league and with constant pressure, we see a completely different story for the Harvard graduate. It's also worth mentioning that the Bucs likely planned all summer long for the Saints and it certainly paid dividends but now with just a week to prepare, we see a much less robust gameplan against a non-divisional foe. Either way, this total is a bit too high when considering that 2 backup QBs are starting!
BYU already looks much improved this season and we believe they have the DL that could provide some measure of resistance against the highly touted Wisconsin OL. The nationally ranked Badgers have gotten all the buzz but they have failed to cover the spread in both games this season and with a tough road game at Iowa on deck, we don't see a blowout tonight. The Cougars' offense hasn't been the most consistent however so we believe the under is the best way to bet this.
Tennessee vs UTEP After a somewhat disappointing showing against West Virginia, Tennessee took out its frustrations on East Tennessee St 59-3 last week. Regardless, it's evident Jeremy Pruitt has the Vols on the right track and has instilled a winning culture that was sorely lacking under Butch Jones. UTEP lost every single game last season and has started this year with losses to UNLV and FCS Northern Arizona. What was shocking was the 6 sacks allowed against the Lumberjacks and aside from being the worst team in FBS, the Miners really lack on both lines. Pruitt has commented on getting the pass rush into the game and this presents a perfect opportunity in our opinion. This should be another layup for the hosts.
Notre Dame is coming off victories against Michigan and Ball St though last week's performance against the Cardinals was relatively uninspiring in a 24-16 win. It's been coach Brian Kelly's M.O. to do what's necessary for the win without going for style points and we believe he goes again with a conservative game plan against a defensive minded Vanderbilt team. The Commodores have back to back blowout wins over Middle Tennessee St and Nevada but take a huge step up in class against the Fighting Irish and we don't see QB Kyle Shurmur having much success against a sound Irish defense. We see a defensive struggle early with the hosts pulling away late but without too much flash.