Karolina Pliskova needed three sets to get past Daria Gavrilova. Who knows if she would have won had her opponent not been in a hard match the day before! While the Czech girl might have needed that first match in 15 days, she didn't really impress and todays opponent Alison Riske can be tough! The American has been in excellent form this week, and the important thing with her is she's going loads of confidence from those wins over Muguruza and Bouchard. If alison can show her best she could even win this, but lets go with +1.5 matches.
Camila Giorgi did us a big favour yesterday, and we are hoping she can follow up against Victoria Azarenka. The Italian won their only meeting, and that came at a time (2014) when Azarenka was at the top of her game. To be fair, the 29 year old from Belarus was excellent in her first two matches against Nara and Barty, but this could be tougher. Afterall, Giorgi is in the best form for some time, and beating Wozniacki in the last round should have have given the 26 year old a lot of confidence.
Genk look a much improved team to us, and they are particularly hot when playing at the Crystal Arena. In fact, the hosts beat Anderlecht (1-0) at the weekend, and they are second and unbeaten following 7 games. Philippe Clement’s side came through four rounds of qualification with ultimate ease, and one of the teams they stuffed was Danish side Brondby (9-3). Suffice to say, a similar performance should see the hosts get the better of another Scandinavian team in Malmo. The Swedish champions started their own campaign in poor style, but more recently they won seven straight to move into fourth. With 8 games remaining Uwe Rosler’s side are 8 points off AIK, so they will certainly need some luck to make it a third league title in succession. Malmo were initially in the Champions league, but they were surprisingly knocked out by Hungarian side Mol Vidi. However, the visitors did manage to win a EL qualification against Midtjylland, so now it’s the group stage of this competition. We believe the hosts are hot at the moment, and they can put Malmo back in place!
It’s generous thursday - take a second for free today - Despite winning on HUMAN NATURE last time it’s noticeable that Jamie Spencer has been jocked-off. We don’t believe he should care, because the jolly is certainly beatable. No reason to think COLONEL FRANK won’t confirm form with ROBERO, albeit it was just a weak race he won. Lightly raced KHAMRY is going the right way, but he might prefer easier ground than this. SIR TITAN has a bit to prove, so that leaves our selection NOBLEMAN’S NEST. Simon Crisfords three year old is going with first time cheekpieces, plus he’s had a wind operation and been gelded since last running. Jockey of the moment Silvestre de Sousa is back in the saddle, and he’s got a nice weight!
We gave a non-runner yesterday - here is a replacement ——— Courtesy of her sex allowance, IRISH LASS receives a bit of weight from the other principals. However, while she’s started odds-on for all her three runs, she hasn’t overly impressed in the last two. Even when winning by a short head last time out against 95 rated HARRY’S GIFT it was really hard work. PARIS TEXAS is the most consistent, and he’s the one to beat. However, BREX DRAGO was very good on the flat (91), he’s the winner of 11 races, and he’s probably going to do
The Browns are still searching for their first win in almost 2 years as they lost in heartbreaking fashion last week against the Saints 21-18 to follow up a hard fought tie in Week 1 against the Steelers. Kicker Zane Gonzalez missed an extra point that would have given the Browns a 1 point lead with a minute remaining and a 52 yard field goal in the waning seconds that would have tied the game at 21. For the game, Gonzalez missed 2 field goals and both extra points and the Arizona St product was waived on Monday for his poor performance. Lost in the kicking ineptitude, however, was the overall performance of the team, who outgained their opponents 327-275 and won the turnover battle 2-1. We've mentioned in the past that the Browns probably deserved better than an 0-16 season in 2017 and it's a statement we continue to stand by. With DeShone Kizer out and Tyrod Taylor in, we believe we have a competent quarterback at the helm and most importantly, one that values the football as Taylor has been one of the least turnover-prone quarterbacks in the league. The Browns also showed tremendous improvements on both sides of the ball as they were able to limit a high powered Saints offense to just 62 yards on the ground and future Hall of Fame QB Drew Brees to just 213 yards in the air. The Browns had one of the better run stopping units in the league last year and we believe it's still a strength especially with an healthy Myles Garrett and Jamie Collins back in the fold. We believe this will be key against a Jets team looking to lean on their ground game with a rookie QB under center. It's been a whirlwind start to Jets' rookie QB Sam Darnold's NFL career as the 19 year old began with a win on the road at Detroit in primetime but sputtered last week in Miami. Darnold threw for 320 yards but looked every bit the rookie with 2 picks and poor decision making at times. While Darnold looks to be the franchise's answer under center, we have to consider that the youngster is playing on a short week and his 3rd game in 11 days, both of which can be daunting for any QB no less a rookie. We believe the Jets won't be able to generate much offense on the ground which would be crucial to keep the pressure off of Darnold and the Jets' weak offensive line being exposed by a stout Cleveland front 7. The Browns do have some injury concerns as DE Emmanuel Ogbah has been ruled out, LB Christian Kirksey is doubtful and S Demarious Randall and WR Jarvis Landry questionable in addition to WR Josh Gordon being traded earlier this week. Defensively, some depth issues arise but we believe the matchup still favours the home side in the trenches and they should be able to move the ball against a Jets' secondary that we believe will be tested as they lack a pass rush to create much pressure. With a low expected total and the hosts' uncertainty at the kicker position, however, we would recommend playing it safe on the moneyline!
Starting pitchers are Josh Tomlin for the hosts and James Shields for the visitors. You may have noticed that we haven't been betting too much MLB lately and it's not solely because we are focusing on other sports. With expanded rosters in September and teams eliminated from playoff contention, we start to see more unpredictability with players resting much like last night with Arizona, who chose to put out what essentially amounted to a Triple-A lineup. This came as a surprise to us as the Diamondbacks still have a shot to win their division or a wild card spot although it would be a longshot at this point, especially given their recent form. Nevertheless, we felt it was a bit cowardly by Torey Lovullo if not ingenious as perhaps it was the shot in the arm his struggling team needed with some fresh bodies out there that allowed the Diamondbacks to cruise to a 9-0 win. With that said, neither the Indians nor the White Sox have much to play for at the moment as the former already clinched their division and the latter has long been eliminated from playoff contention. The Indians sleepwalked their way through last night's game, getting blanked by one of the poorest pitchers in the league before late inning heroics allowed them to walk it off in style with a grand slam by Jason Kipnis. While Indians' manager Terry Francona is giving a few veterans nights off here and there since clinching a playoff spot, we aren't seeing wholesale resting of starters as we did with the Diamondbacks last night as Francona has commented on keeping everyone sharp and playing the game the right way. Given last night's struggles, we expect to see a competitive lineup to face James Shields, who has a 5.04 xFIP on the season and has a bit of a home run problem at 1.45 HR allowed per 9 innings. The 36 year old is nearing the end of his illustrious career and we don't have too much faith in him at the moment despite some limited success against the Indians this season. On the other side, Josh Tomlin is making another spot start and his last one was hardly encouraging with 2 runs allowed in 4 innings against the Tigers who struggle mightily against right handers. Tomlin throws primarily cutters but with very little variation from his fastball, he is essentially throwing a slower version of his fastball which already struggles to break 90. The White Sox have some left handed power in their lineup that should have their chances against Tomlin whose home run rate against lefties is 4.56 HR/9, a comical number even for a full time reliever. We see a slugfest as the visitors try to win for the first time at Progressive Field this year!
Have one on us for free - Got to believe INK MASTER is in the grip of the h’capper. In fact, i would say IFANDBUTWHYNOT can be put in the same category. SUDSKI STAR likes it here, but he’s not running well enough. Maybe Rose Dobbin’s stable is about to hit form, so her HONOURABLE GENT could be respected. CUBOMANIA is only favourite because he’s over from Ireland, he doesn’t stand out for us. We like HARGAM now that he’s being dropped back to 2 miles and racing on faster ground. It’s hard to forget how he won that Warwick h’cap, and he should be forgiven his latest effort.
We want to punt against last years winner Caroline Wozniacki, and that’s despite the Dane being the current world number two. On paper Camilla Giorgi is going to be in for a hard day at the office. However, the Italian arrives in excellent form, and she’s beaten Wozniacki twice in the past. With that said, the deciding factor for us is Caro was a bit out of sorts at the US open, and we just wonder how high she’s going to be pumped for her first match since. Court practice and an easy 6-2 6-1 win over Misaki Doi tells us to chance the outsider.
We know who the best play is, and that’s Anett Kontaveit. However, the Estonian is not always reliable, so you have to feel when she’s ready. A first round defeat of Kristina Mladenovic suggests the 22 year old is ready to go, and the last time she played todays opponent Barbora Strycova it ended 6-3 6-0. The Czech girl enjoyed a good win over Diyas in the first round, and she’s certainly a capable player at the right level. Nevertheless, she’s a bit limited and could be over powered here!
Full Preview on todays blog - http://betting-analyst.com/blog/41 ----- Want to get all our PREMIUM syndicate tips until the end of 2018 (3.4 months) - Just €500 with code CL2 - firstname.lastname@example.org