PREMIUM BET - This makes it five WTA selections given for FREE - We will check the number of site visits before deciding on whether to add the full program this week! —————— Ajla Tomljanovic has shown a good level this season, and reward for her 13/9 is a career high rank of 39. No doubt the 25 year old Croatian will win many more matches, but she’s drawn the short straw here. Tournament favourite Marketa Vondrousova is already a fantastic 15/4 on the year. She’s got a 76.7% win rate on clay, and she warmed up for this with a couple of easy fed cup wins for the Czech Republic. When we take into consideration she’s just 19, it’s easy to imagine her climbing further up the ranks. Vondrousova has already claimed some big scalps this year, including current number 2 Simona Halep. she’s made the QF’s of Miami and Indian Wells, and last year she made the fourth round of the US open. One thing is certain, Vondrousova has the profile to win a tournament like this - exciting times ahead!
PREMIUM TENNIS TIP - A look at stats shows Kirsten Flipkens plays to a similar level on most surfaces. In fact, her average win rate is 57.3%, while on clay it’s 56.3%. Interestingly, on four appearances in Istanbul, the now 33 year old has either been knocked out in round one or two. Suffice to say, despite coming here on the back of a Fed Cup win against Garbine Muguruza, she looks very beatable. Ana Bogdan could only reach a career high rank of 59, and that compares with Flippers 13. Furthermore, the 26 year old comes into this with a current rank of 150, and her prize money is still under a million (996K). The Romanian had a really poor start to the season, but she did win two qualifying matches here. Even more inspiring is the fact she’s 63.4% on clay, and she’s got a good record when playing in Turkey!
Julia Goerges leads head to heads 4-2, and playing in Germany means she’s got home advantage. Back in 2012 the Goerges beat her opponent in the first round of this tournament. The 30 year old is comfortable on clay, and she started the year by winning Auckland. However, she’s not been her best in several matches since then, and losing to the likes of Taylor Townsend, Mona Barthel and Alison Riske doesn’t auger well. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova wouldn’t be the most consistent player on tour. In her defence, she takes risks and plays her matches on the front foot. Pav’s comes into this having won a fed cup match, and she’s also been a qtr finalist of both Melbourne and St Petersburg. On a good day the 27 year old can beat most players on tour. Last year she sent both Muguruza and Keys at this tournament, that’s good enough for us!
PREMIUM BET ON US ------- Caroline Garcia has beaten Anett Kontaveit on both grass and indoor. The 25 year old was a semi finalist here last season, and according to her career profile she’s at her best on this surface. Kontaveit has had a solid start to the season, and she too was a semi finalist of this in 2018. In fact, she also made the QF in 2017, and that was after coming through qualification. The 24 year old is a solid 69.2% on clay, and she holds a ranking advantage on her opponent. Both girls could have aspirations of winning a tournament like this, but one thing could count against Caro. On sunday she played a three hour match against Simona Halep, and she was defeated in three sets. A few hours later she was forced to play in doubles, so she could be feeling those exertions today. Last but not least, she wouldn’t have had much court practice, thus we can imagine a reversal!
PREMIUM TENNIS PICK ——— Qiang Wang leads head to heads 3-2, but it was Su-Wei Hsieh who won their last meeting. One thing we should mention, 4 of those matches where on hard courts and the other on carpet. Neither player would call Clay their favoured surface. In fact, while Hsieh averages a win rate of 60.1%, she’s just 52.4% on clay. Wang averages an overall 60.5%, but her win rate on clay is an even lower 47.8%. Both girls are having decent seasons, and to be fair they have done alright in some clay tournaments. On that note, last year Hsieh made the semi of Rabat and the QF of Strasbourg. She’s also beat good clay players Safarova, Kanepi and Sabalenka, so no doubt she’s capable! At these odds we have to get with the older girl!
PREMIUM BET ON US —————Huesca won’t be relegated for lack of fight, but following 4 draws in sequence they have to start winning. The thing is they need to make up at least 6 points on Valladolid, and they have just 5 games remaining. At the weekend, Francisco Rodriguez’s side drew (0-0) with Rayo Vallecano. To be frank, they were a little fortunate has their opponents had a goal (VAR) written off for off-side. Their was only a couple of centimetres in that decision, and following that Rayo seemed to lose faith. The hosts won 3/16 at home, and in their last match here they played out a 0-0 against Barcelona. A draw in Levante, and the same against Celta Vigo are other decent results. On a positive note the Azulgranas won the reverse match (1-2), and it has to be said that Eibar are much better at home than on the road. In fact, the visitors managed just one win away (1-8-7), and they have 40 points which should at least guarantee survival. Take an highly motivated host to get a win and at least give themselves a bit of hope.
FREE PREMIUM — Interesting that they have left HAMLUL an entire (colt), because that suggests they still expect him to improve. Suffice to say he could be playing to keep his nuts here, but we want to take him on. MONOXIDE has been gelded since his last run, and his racing career might benefit for that operation. Trainer in form, and he was progressive in all five runs last term. With the potential of better to come, Oisin Murphy’s mount is worth the bet on this fast ground!
PREMIUM TENNIS PICK - Today, we are adding all WTA tennis bets for free. If they prove popular (unique site visits), we will add both tournaments for free all this week. Please note, we will add nearer to start time than paying premium clients where sent! ——————— It’s hard to understand why Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t gone on from her French open tournament win, maybe trying too hard?. All the same, she’s just 21 and her rank of 29 tells us she’s got time on her side. The younger girl is clearly at her best on clay, and it would be wrong to underestimate her here. Anastasija Sevastova won their only meeting. Since returning from a what appeared to be a career ending injury, she’s been supremely consistent. Long may the 29 year old continue to be a top twenty player, but we can’t imagine her ever reaching the same high rank (5) has her opponent achieved. Here’s hoping Ostapenko can keep the ball inside the court, if she does then expect her to hit through Sevastova.