Starting pitchers are Julio Teheran for the hosts and Wade Miley for the visitors. Wade Miley's 2.10 ERA is certainly deceiving not solely due to the limited starts he's made this season but as much of the same issues he had in 2017 have resurfaced in 2018 as well. Miley's control issues have continued as he's walking 4.72 batters per 9 innings and his strikeout numbers have actually cratered from 8.12 K/9 a season ago to 5.77 K/9 though there is obviously some room for improvement given the limited number of innings logged. One area that Miley has curiously been terrific at is limiting home runs as his 0.26 HR/9 is a far cry from the 1.43 HR/9 of 2017. Much of this can be explained by his miniscule HR/FB ratio of 4.0% and Miley will certainly be challenged in a ballpark that seems to favour home runs, especially to left handed batters. While Miley being a southpaw should be of benefit, we haven't seen it this season as he's actually been worse against left handed batters and even last season, his xFIP was virtually the same against both left handed and right handed batters. The Braves being one of the best hitting teams in the league and with no shortage of left handed batters in a ballpark that favours them should have their share of scoring chances against Miley in our opinion! On the other side, Julio Teheran has a similar story as the veteran just never seemed to get comfortable pitching at SunTrust Park. In any event, Teheran also suffers from control issues with an elevated walk rate and his home run rate of 1.64 HR/9 is the 11th highest in the league among qualified pitchers. Furthermore, Teheran has struggled against left handed batters all season with an xFIP of 6.05 against them and faces a power hitting Brewers team that's one of the best in the league against right handers and should be able to stack the lineup with left handed batters. The Brewers still have one of the best bullpens in the league and while the Braves' relievers got a boost at the trade deadline, they still rank in the bottom 3rd. As we are not believers in Miley's unbelievably low HR rate this season, a bet on the Over is a no brainer for us as we see both sides slugging it out early. However, we also believe the visitors do have the slightly better matchup early and a clear advantage late so a bet on them is in order as well.
Elena Svitolina probably needed her first match against Mihaela Buzarnescu, and she certainly stepped up in her next round against Johanna Konta. Whichever way you look at it, the 23 year old Ukrainian is one of the steadiest players on tour, and her profile suggests she can win this in straight sets. Elise Mertens won a match against Svitolina in Melbourne, but that was right at the beginning of the season. Don’t get us wrong, we respect the 22 year old Belgium. With that said, she needed three sets to beat Zhang and Sabalenka, that doesn’t amount to a great deal.
SUBSCRIBE TO FOOTBALL PREMIUM AND GET ALL OUR SYNDICATE BETS FOR JUST €250 PER MONTH OR €990 TO END OF 2018 ——— ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM TO GET STARTED ——South of France derby will open the French Ligue-one season. Marseille won this fixture last season (2-0), and they made it six points over Toulouse with a 1-2 away win. Les Phoceens ended the last campaign fourth, just three points off second placed Monaco. It could also be noted that Marseille finished 19 points clear of fifth team Rennes, and 41 of their 77 points were taken at the Velodrome (12-5-2). During the summer their wasn’t much movement at the club, but the probable reason for that was the previous seasons €59 million investment. The new owners and coach Rudi Garcia are clearly doing a much better job of appeasing the passionate Marseille fans, and confidence is certainly growing. It’s probably fair to point out that Marseille haven’t done particularly well in pre season friendlies. However, the coach experimented with bench players and drawing with Villarreal and Sporting isn’t too bad. In any case, the league starts tonight and Toulouse are not the strongest opponent. Toulouse escaped the drop courtesy of a play-off. Nevertheless, Les Pitchouns were often exposed, and if anything the visitors are starting the new campaign with a weaker squad. In fact, the club cashed in €19 million on player sales, and returning coach Alain Casanova has seen his team lose back to back friendlies against Crystal Palace (4-1) and Nimes (4-3). Anything other than a convincing home win will be disappointing !
We have just two tennis bets for tonight - Here is one for free————Ashleigh Barty beat Alize Cornet in yesterdays match, but she didn’t cover the h’cap and nor did she impress. Yes Barty has improved a little from match to match, but her form doesn’t compare to that of Kiki Bertens. Afterall the Dutch girl defied the odds to beat both Karolina Pliskova and Petra Kvitova in straight sets, and she never let either of those players off the hook. Furthermore, we have to recognise that both those players are top ten players, and they have been ranked at a lofty one + two in the past. We’ve been with Bertens all week, so why stop now!!
Starting pitchers are Jordan Zimmermann for the hosts and Ervin Santana for the visitors. Fair play to Jordan Zimmermann for resurrecting his career when he appeared finished last season but the 32 year old appears to be running out of steam as he's lost 3 straight since returning from the DL with 11 runs allowed over 14.1 IP. Zimmermann did fare better last time out against the A's in a losing effort as he held the powerful Oakland offense to just 2 runs in 6.1 IP but he has been prone to the long ball of late, allowing 6 home runs over his last 3 starts and 9 home runs over his last 5 starts going back to before he hit the DL. The Twins have lost some pop as they were sellers at the trade deadline but they still have some hitters and can stack their lineup with left handed bats which Zimmermann has struggled against at home with a 4.75 xFIP in that situation. On the other side, Ervin Santana has been anything but convincing since returning from his long layoff and his last start against the Royals was particularly troubling as he struggled to hit 90 on the gun and labored through 4.1 innings allowing 3 runs on 7 hits against a dreadful hitting Royals team. The Tigers are as dreadful if not moreso than the Royals against right handers but we're of the belief that the 35 year old simply doesn't have it anymore and is a ticking time bomb at this point. The Twins despite trading away some of their relievers still have a good enough bullpen but it's the Tigers' relievers that rank among the worst in the league and in any case we see both starters struggling early. Runs for both sides!
Starting pitchers are Marco Estrada for the hosts and Blake Snell for the visitors. We have to give some credit to Marco Estrada for turning around what appeared to be a lost season and while we still believe he doesn't belong on a major league roster, he does get a somewhat favourable matchup tonight. Being a fly ball pitcher, Estrada has been extremely prone to the long ball at this stage of his career as his HR/9 of 1.43 is the 24th highest mark in the league among qualified pitchers and would be even higher if not for a modest 9.2% HR/FB ratio. Nevertheless, Estrada has found the formula for pitching at home where his xFIP is significantly lower than on the road and against left handed batters at home, it's a reasonable 4.32. This is crucial against a left handed heavy Rays lineup that's also been gutted since midseason as the Rays traded away their top talents. On the other side, the Rays send out their ace Blake Snell and while his home and away splits are nearly the same, he is significantly worse against right handed batters which the Blue Jays will likely have from 1-9 in their lineup tonight. Snell is also more of a groundball pitcher which isn't ideal on turf especially with a mediocre defense behind him. We would rate the bullpens about even but the Jays' offense a bit better and with home field advantage, we don't believe they should be outsiders even with the difference in starting pitching!
We sent out four PREMIUM FOOTBALL bets today, and this is one of them. Why not make this bet to gain some cash and join our PREMIUM service for a full month. Then you can really cash-in on our football syndicate bets ——— email@example.com ———— Just 450Km separate between these two clubs, so travelling isn’t going to be an issue. Hapoel Beer Sheeva won last seasons domestic campaign for the third year in succession. However, the Israeli club were knocked out of the Champions league qualifications by Dinamo Zagreb, and one of those games ended in a 5-0 defeat. We could also add that the hosts lost the recent Super cup, and they might have their backs up against the wall against a useful APOEL. The visitors won their own league for the past six seasons, and they are by far the most successful team to come out of Cyrpus. Like their opponents Apoel have already been knocked out of the Champions league, but since then they have beaten Flora to progress in this competition. If we go back to the last campaign APOEL made it into the group stages of the Champions league, and they even managed to draw in Dortmund. Visitors look to have the same quality of players has last term, that should be enough to get something here.
Have this one on us———— Big hitting Petra Kvitova got the better of Anett Kontaveit in straight sets, albeit it was a closer match than the result implied. What we can say is the 28 year old is 39/9 on the season, and she’s already won five tournaments in 2018. However, that doesn’t mean the 1.83M Petra is invincible, and she is likely to have a match on her hands against the very decent Kiki Bertens. While it’s fair to point out that Kvitova leads head to heads 2-0, the one this year (Madrid) ended in a very close 7-6 4-6 6-3. Furthermore, the Dutch girl has looked super sharp this week, and she absolutely thrashed former number one Karolina Pliskova in her last match. Lets take Kiki with a start!
Have this one on us - You won’t get a free racing tip everyday. If you are serious about betting we can offer two more places at 100 per month — firstname.lastname@example.org ————Trainers are clearly not happy with the road like ground at Yarmouth, so hopefully their will be no withdrawals here. CAPTAIN SEDGEWICK won such a poor race that he can’t be taken seriously. KING OSWALD is running consistently well, but he really is limited in ability. Despite not being anything special, it’s got to be lightly raced OAKLEY MIMOSA. It really comes down to this being a crap race, and she’s got a bit of scope.
Starting pitchers are Andrew Suarez for the hosts and Ivan Nova for the visitors. Andrew Suarez is going through a rough stretch as he's allowed 19 ER in his last 4 starts over 21.2 innings of work. Nevertheless, Suarez's 3.55 xFIP belies his 4.60 ERA as he's been victimized by a high .324 BABIP and 17.0% HR/FB ratio. It's no surprise that Suarez's home numbers are better than his road numbers given AT&T Park being one of the more pitcher-friendly venues in baseball and his HR/FB ratio is significantly lower as well at 7.1% compared to 18.9% on the road. Consequently, his HR/9 is a more reasonable 1.16 HR/9 and he faces a Pirates team that doesn't really hit for much power anyway and field a worse lineup against southpaws as more than a few key players such as Corey Dickerson and Colin Moran hit from the left side. Ivan Nova hasn't been in the best of form either with 10 runs allowed over his last 3 starts in 15.2 innings of work but he too should benefit from the pitcher-friendly venue given his ugly looking 1.52 HR/9 mark on the year. Nova still has shown good control, allowing just 1.90 BB/9 and he faces a Giants lineup that's mired in a slump with just 11 runs scored over their last 5 games. Bullpens are more than adequate for both sides and we believe both starters should put in quality efforts as well. We believe 8 is a tick too high!
Starting pitchers are Corey Kluber for the hosts and Jose Berrios for the visitors. Jose Berrios is having a fine season for the Twins as he enters this game with an 11-8 record and 3.51 ERA. Berrios' xFIP isn't much worse at 3.74 but one area he has struggled is pitching away from home where his xFIP balloons to 4.66 and if we look at his xFIP against left handed batters on the road, it's an even worse 5.26. This is rather significant against the Indians who should be able to have at least 6 left handed or switch hitters in the lineup and in a ballpark that favours them as well. On the other side, Corey Kluber is having another Cy Young calibre season but we believe the humid weather conditions aren't ideal for him and he too will have to face a left handed heavy Twins lineup though his platoon splits aren't nearly as bad as Berrios'. The Twins bullpen is still one of the best in the AL but that hasn't been the case in recent weeks and the Indians' relievers despite getting some reinforcements in Brad Hand and Adam Cimber, still haven't found consistency in high leverage situations. We believe the ballpark and conditions are enough of a factor here to warrant a slightly higher total!
We seem to get more interest in tennis from Twitter, thus we prefer to add another rather than give away our valuable football info ————We have a lot of respect for Shuai Zhang, because she must have clocked up more air miles than most other players over the past few years. Nevertheless, she’s not at the same level that she was, and now she’s up against the super consistent Elise Mertens. The 22 year old is at a career high rank of 15, and you have to believe she’s ready for the top ten. While Mertens is not what you would call spectacular, the fact is she’s on the ball and her intelligent play makes her a formidable opponent. Straight sets!