Having won his last three races, MARBLE MOON is in fantastic form. Their is also an argument to suggest Evan Williams six year old is still fairly treated, and he could improve further. Ditto COMMODORE BARRY who won his last two, and who was certainly holding a bit back at Southwell. However, the one to be on is the classy SOME KINDA LAMA, with the main reasoning being he’s seven pounds lower and changed to a good stable. In fact, we can also mention that he’s being ridden by the champion, and best of all he’s 2/2 at the track!
Which Alize Cornet will we see today, the one who won Gstaad or the one who lost 6 from her last seven matches?. Yes the French girl is really inconsistent, but isn’t that the case for a lot of WTA players. Our job has professional gamblers is to stack the odds in our favour, and to do that we look at a load of factors. One of them being, inconsistency can help getting over the odds. Yes Cornet lost their only meeting at this tournament last year. However, we know she’s good, and Natalia Vikhyantseva isn’t a very confident player. In fact, the Russian has a negative balance on the year and her rank slipped to a low of 109. We really don’t understand how the 21 year old could be the bookies favourite, and anyone putting their life savings on her is playing Russian roulette!
Starting pitchers are Dallas Keuchel for the hosts and Nathan Eovaldi for the visitors. Keuchel was effective enough against the Indians in Game 3 of the ALDS, allowing 2 ER over 5 innings with 2 strikeouts to just 1 walk. However, we feel the Indians weren't at their best in the postseason and were slumping terribly the entire series whereas the Red Sox look to be in terrific form at the plate and have feasted on left handed pitching the 2nd half of the season. Keuchel is primarily a sinkerballer with a high groundball rate and part of the reason for some of his struggles this season was a below average defense behind him, something we believe will be magnified against a team that doesn't strike out much and makes good contact when putting the ball into play. On the other side, Nathan Eovaldi is one of the hardest throwing starters in the league and he was magnificent in his postseason debut against the Yankees, allowing just 1 run in 7 innings of work. As well as the Astros hit, they are primarily right handed and their numbers against 96+ mph fastballs from right handed pitchers were fairly average throughout the year, much like the Yankees but even a little worse. We believe the visitors own a sizable edge in the starters and while the bullpen advantage belongs to the hosts, we see this as much closer to 50/50 on the strength of the first 5-7 innings!
NBA PREMIUM BETS FREE FOR 1 WEEK. MASSIVE PROFITS LAST YEAR! SUBSCRIBE TO GET THE FULL SEASON PACKAGE AS THESE WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN IN THE FREE SECTION AFTER A WEEK! INQUIRE: ADMIN@BETTING-ANALYST.COM NBA season gets under way with two teams that met in the playoffs a season ago with Brad Steven's Celtics winning 4-1 despite missing their 2 best players in Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward. Neither team made too many changes in the offseason with the Celtics losing Shane Larkin, Greg Monroe and Rodney Purvis and adding Robert Williams III out of Texas A&M in the draft. The 76ers lost Ersan Ilyasova and Marco Belinelli but added Wilson Chandler, Mike Muscala and two first round picks Zhaire Smith and Landry Shamet. Chandler will miss tonight's game as he continues to rehab his hamstring but both teams will welcome back key players who missed a large portion of last season. The Celtics will have Kyrie Irving back after he missed the playoffs and Gordon Hayward who missed all but 1 game of last season due to a broken leg. On the other side, the Sixers will have Markelle Fultz back in the starting rotation after Fultz sat out much of the 2017 season due to a broken jumpshot for lack of a better phrase. Sixers coach Brett Brown has indicated he wants to start Fultz in the 1st half to give him a chance to grow and ease into the lineup with JJ Redick playing off the bench and the two will likely have their roles reversed in the 2nd half. Fultz's play in the preseason was a mixed bag as he looked comfortable moving off the ball but still hesitant to shoot the 3, making just 1 in 5 attempts. We believe Fultz's inclusion into the starting lineup at the expense of Redick loses a three point threat and thus reduces floor spacing which can bog things down on the offensive end especially against an elite defensive team in the Celtics. Reigning rookie of the year Ben Simmons has shown an otherworldly basketball IQ but he has clearly decided not to develop a 3 point shot or even a jump shot for that matter leaving just Dario Saric and Robert Covington as legitimate outside threats though Covington has generally been shut down by the Celtics. On the Celtics side, Kyrie Irving has looked his usual self but Gordon Hayward has looked hesitant and lacking some athleticism and confidnece. Hayward will be restricted to about 25 minutes of play according to Stevens so with both teams still getting a feel for their lineups with their newly healthy players, we see this total a bit on the high side.
Loads and loads of WTA today, so many tennis bets out to subscribers. For the website we are going to offer a free PREMIUM bet for Luxembourg, and here it is! Margarita Gasparyan has given herself a better chance by coming to this tournament in favour of playing in her own country (Moscow - Russia). The 24 year old has been at the top of her game over the past three weeks, and after winning Tashkent she followed up with a QF in Linz. However, despite this unorthodox player having a good run she is up against it here! Less that a month ago in Seoul Maria Sakkari thrashed Gasparyan 6-2-6-2, and she went on to make the semi final of that tournament. Since then the 23 year old Greek lost three straight, albeit we would give her an excuse for the first two. Afterall, playing the in form Qiang Wang wouldn’t be easy, especially has she hadn’t time to prepare for that tournament in Wuhan. And, playing Donna Vekic in the first round of Beijing is less than ideal. Sakkari is underestimated by the odds here.
Another 3/3 for Premium football bet follower last night - Here is one of ours for free today --------We don’t have to dwell on this one for long, because in short we believe the Iceland bubble has burst. In fact, Our Boys were totally outplayed and thrashed in the reverse match against Switzerland (6-0). That resilience which had taken them to the QF of the last European champions and the world cup finals wasn’t to be seen. And, they don’t appear to play for new coach Erik Hamrén. Switzerland continue to thrive under the guidance of Vladimir Petkovic, and they were a tad unfortunate to lose in the last round against Belgium (2-1). With regards to that away match, the A-Team managed 50% possession, 16 goal attempts and 5 on target. Suffice to say Petkovic’s men had their chance and it was a good effort in defeat. Fair play to Iceland for drawing a last time out friendly in France (2-2), but take into consideration that team experimented. The Swiss have the same squad available that played Belgium, so it really is a A-Team. Iceland on the other hand are likely to be without Saevarsson. Hallfredsson was injured in that defeat against Belgium, and so was Jon Bodvarsson. Everything points to a big bet on the visitor!
Lesia Tsurenko leads head to heads 2-1, and she’s having a really solid year. While the 29 year old can’t appear at every tournament (injuries), she recently made the quarter final of the US open. Players she’s beaten this year include current number two Wozniacki, grand slam winner Garbine Muguruza and several other top players. She’s the winner of Acapulco and made the QF of this last year. Daria Kasatkina made the QF of Wimbledon. but she’s not been very competitive since. In fact, she was knocked out of a clay tournament here (Moscow) in the second round by Zidansek. And, she’s lost to players such has Martic, Sharapova and Cibulkova. Plus, she retired during her last match!
Hilarious watching some of you guys selling our TIPS in Facebook groups!! —————This match will go to the player who can scrape the line best. Both girls like to play the match deep, and that means their will be a lot of long rallies and focus needed. A look through both players profile will show an amazing amount of inconsistency, so picking the winner here won’t be based on any scientific analysation. We make bets according to the odds on offer, and our sports modelling software takes into account a number of factors. What it’s telling us here is both girls have a similar rank (Putintseva 4 places higher), and at their best they have reached similar heights (Begu 5 places higher). Both win about 60% of their matches on indoor hard court, but Begu went a step further (QF) than her opponent at this tournament last year. Season trends are similar, thus in a balance match on paper Begu has to be the call - Betting is all about having the odds in your favour, if you don’t understand that you won’t be winning!
PREMIUM BETS - Only those paid up before the start of play tomorrow will be able to get Premium WTA bets for €150 to the end of November (6 weeks) -----Be quick, firstname.lastname@example.org ---------- Anett Kontaveit inevitably makes heavy weather of playing in the first round. In fact, she often needs three or a close two setter. At this stage of last year, the Latvian chose to go for the easier tournament in Luxembourg, but even that didn’t help (second round ejection) Seventeen year old Anastasia Potapova could be anything, so watch this space! The Young Russian spreads out tournaments, and she comes here on making the final in Tashkent. We believe her coaches are advising the teenager well, and she will be up for this in front of her own crowd.
We are going to give everyone a chance to follow our WTA PREMIUM BETS today - We will add to FREE section one hour before schedule start! Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova usually comes good at this time of the year, albeit she’s struggled at a couple of recent tournaments. That is slightly concerning, because the 27 year old has a negative balance on the year (20-24), and she failed to raise her game in recent matches. Another concern, Pav’s was ejected in the first round of this in 2017, and a year earlier she was beaten by Gavrilova! During 2018, Ajla Tomljanovic is 36/23. she’s an under-rated player, and made the likes of Simona Halep and Kiki Bertens go the distance. In fact, she’s also beaten some solid players and made the final of Rabat and Seoul.
At last weeks Linz, Tatjana Maria managed to beat todays opponent Anna Blinkova. However, it was a drawn out three setter (2-6 6-2 6-3), and we can tell you why the Russian lost. Poor serving (53%) and ten double faults is the answer to that. The thing is Blinkova is the better tennis player, and she’s got much more of a future than her 30 year old opponent. While we respect the German, the working mother is limited in talent and she even showed fatigue in her next match against Petkovic. Everything points to Blinkova getting revenge.
At last weeks Linz, Anna Schmiedlova had the match in her own hands against Alison Van Uytvanck. However, she bottled it, and that took the shine off her previous good work. Nevertheless, the Slovakian is in decent form and she can certainly lay up with Donna Vekic. The Croatian was awful in losing to Timea Babos (6-1 6-1) in the first round of Linz, and in our opinion she’s not particularly suited by indoor hard court! We advice taking the start with Schmiedlova!