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WTA BETTING PREVIEW MALLORCA - ANASTASIJA SEVASTOVA vs ELISE MERTENS

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We won’t write an extra ‘’outright preview’’ for Mallorca, because we have a limited audience at the moment and the reward to effort doesn’t add up. However, we will quickly mention that Mallorca will play different to other grass surfaces, so that’s why some players have chosen here instead of Birmingham. We believe one of the players it will benefit is Anastasija Sevastova, so she’s got to be worth a punt at massive odds of 18.00. It’s probably unreasonable to expect much from returning mother Viktoria Azarenka, although she’s clearly got the class to win the tournament. Nevertheless, as a second bet we prefer Eugenie Bouchard (21.00), because she’s another who should be well suited by conditions. 

ANASTASIJA SEVASTOVA vs ELISE MERTENS

We should start by saying it’s an astute move for Anastastija Sevastova to choose this tournament. Afterall, Mallorca is a much slower court, and it can be played from the baseline. That of course will suit the ever improving Sevastova, and to be fair she’s got much easier competition here than in Birmingham. In fact, the 27 year old is seeded number two, so that alone suggests she’s over priced.

In Nottingham last week Sevastova was beaten in the first round by Christina McHale. Nevertheless, it was a close and well fought match, and we shouldn’t underestimate her opponent that day. That first hit on grass should have done the Latvian the power of good, and it’s refreshing to know that she arrived in Mallorca early to get plenty of pre match practice. We believe that if Sevastova can ride the first couple of rounds, conditions will get more to her liking has the week goes on.

Elise Mertens takes a bit of figuring out, because she appeared to be peaking when making the final of Istanbul. However, defeats to Alison Riske (Nuremberg) and Lesia Tsurenko (Hertogenbosch) suggest that was a mirage, and she’s not coming into this tournament in such good form has last year. On that occasion the now 21 year old fought her way through qualifying, but was eventually stopped by Jelena Jankovic in R16.

Mertens can play all surfaces, but she’s not good enough to test an in form Sevastova!

BET: ANASTASIJA SEVASTOVA -3 games